Auto-generación de electricidad, Optimización y Evaluación en el marco de las nuevas polítcas de apoyo en Colombia (Self-generation of Electricity, Assessment and Optimization Under the New Support Schemes in Colombia)

Alvaro René Restrepo (alvarores@gmail.com)1, Diego Fernando Manotas (diego.manotas@correounivalle.edu.co)2, Carlos Arturo Lozano (carlos.a.lozano@correounivalle.edu.co)2


1Universidad del Cauca, Universidad del Valle
2Universidad del Valle

This paper appears in: Revista IEEE América Latina

Publication Date: March 2016
Volume: 14,   Issue: 3 
ISSN: 1548-0992


Abstract:
This paper propose a method to evaluate a electricity project self-generation with renewable energy sources under the new Colombian normative framework and it includes the uncertainty than characterized this type of projects. An economic optimization model was designed to evaluate the self-generation project management; the cash discount flow method is implemented with Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). A Radial Basis Function Network with causal variables (historic and forecast) was used for modeling the forward price and MCS for the system generation and the output of the economic model. The case study that was developed in shopping centers considering the possibilities of electricity generation surplus export and, response demand programs. The applicability of the proposed economic model is shown, through which the scenarios in which the project is viable are determined.

Index Terms:
self-generation management, commercial electric consumers, uncertainty of renewables projects, modeling of forward price, normative framework.   


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