Modelagem de Curvas Típicas de Demanda Elétrica Utilizando Dados Climáticos (Modeling Typical Power Demand Curves Using Climatic Data)

Marthielo Santos Marques (marthielo@cermissõ, Fátima Cibele Soares (, Jumar Luís Russi (

1Cooperativa/Permissionária de Geração e Distribuição de Energia Elétrica: ­CERMISSOES
2Universidade Federal do Pampa

This paper appears in: Revista IEEE América Latina

Publication Date: July 2016
Volume: 14,   Issue: 7 
ISSN: 1548-0992

This paper presents a methodology for modeling typical power demand curves and shows the influence of climatic data as a deterministic factor for this characterization by using Artificial Neural Networks. The methodology presented was applied on real data, what made possible to obtain typical curves with a high degree of accuracy in forecasting demand curves. By means of the investigation carried out it can be seen the closest relationship between climatic data and electric power demand. Furthermore, a comparison between the proposed methodology and the kVAs method is presented.

Index Terms:
Power Demand Curve, Power Systems, Systems Modeling   

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